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# message-australia-degrowth | ||
Scripts to recreate figures for the analysis as presented in "Downscaling Down Under: Towards degrowth in integrated assessment models" (Kikstra et al., 2024) in Economic Systems Research. | ||
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/09535314.2023.2301443 | ||
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||
For reproducing the figures from the manuscript: | ||
Step 1: download IPCC AR6 Scenario data (see below) | ||
Step 2: adjust the paths for the AR6 data in `process-data.R` and `f10.R`, being the following two variables: | ||
- `IPCC.DATA.FILE.R10` (`process-data.R`) | ||
- `IPCC.META.FILE` (`process-data.R` and `f10.R`) | ||
Step 3: | ||
- To reproduce all figures in one go, run the script `produce_all_figures.R`. | ||
- Alternatively, you can run each figure separately. (after running `process-data.R`) | ||
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||
### AR6 scenario database downloads | ||
PLEASE NOTE: to make this work, you first need to download the AR6 Scenario Database (R10). | ||
The data that these scripts use need to be downloaded from the AR6 Scenario Database hosted by IIASA. Here, we used release version 1.1. | ||
The scenarios that were used for the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report, Working Group III contribution on Climate Change Mitigation (AR6 WGIII), can be downloaded from https://data.ece.iiasa.ac.at/ar6. | ||
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||
More specifically, go to the 'Downloads' tab and click on the "AR6_Scenarios_Database_R10_regions_v1.1" download link, to obtain the following two files: | ||
1. `AR6_Scenarios_Database_metadata_indicators_v1.1.xlsx` | ||
2. `AR6_Scenarios_Database_R10_regions_v1.1.csv` | ||
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||
For a more detailed description of that data, please refer to: | ||
Edward Byers, Volker Krey, Elmar Kriegler, Keywan Riahi, Roberto Schaeffer, Jarmo Kikstra, Robin Lamboll, Zebedee Nicholls, Marit Sanstad, Chris Smith, Kaj-Ivar van der Wijst, Alaa Al Khourdajie, Franck Lecocq, Joana Portugal-Pereira, Yamina Saheb, Anders Strømann, Harald Winkler, Cornelia Auer, Elina Brutschin, Matthew Gidden, Philip Hackstock, Mathijs Harmsen, Daniel Huppmann, Peter Kolp, Claire Lepault, Jared Lewis, Giacomo Marangoni, Eduardo Müller-Casseres, Ragnhild Skeie, Michaela Werning, Katherine Calvin, Piers Forster, Celine Guivarch, Tomoko Hasegawa, Malte Meinshausen, Glen Peters, Joeri Rogelj, Bjorn Samset, Julia Steinberger, Massimo Tavoni, Detlef van Vuuren. | ||
AR6 Scenarios Database hosted by IIASA, version 1.1. | ||
International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, 2022. | ||
doi: [10.5281/zenodo.5886911](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5886911) | url: [data.ece.iiasa.ac.at/ar6/](https://data.ece.iiasa.ac.at/ar6) | ||
Download citation: [bibtex](https://data.ece.iiasa.ac.at/ar6/static/files/ar6_scenario_data.bib) |
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year,IPC1,IPC2,IPC4,IPC5,IPCMAG | ||
1750,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.65e-17,0.0 | ||
1751,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.00547,0.0 | ||
1752,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0109,0.0 | ||
1753,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.016399999999999998,0.0 | ||
1754,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0219,0.0 | ||
1755,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.027399999999999997,0.0 | ||
1756,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.032799999999999996,0.0 | ||
1757,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.038299999999999994,0.0 | ||
1758,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0438,0.0 | ||
1759,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0493,0.0 | ||
1760,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.054700000000000006,0.0 | ||
1761,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.060200000000000004,0.0 | ||
1762,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.06570000000000001,0.0 | ||
1763,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0712,0.0 | ||
1764,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.07659999999999999,0.0 | ||
1765,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.08209999999999999,0.0 | ||
1766,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0876,0.0 | ||
1767,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.09309999999999999,0.0 | ||
1768,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0985,0.0 | ||
1769,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.104,0.0 | ||
1770,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.109,0.0 | ||
1771,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.115,0.0 | ||
1772,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.12,0.0 | ||
1773,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.126,0.0 | ||
1774,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.131,0.0 | ||
1775,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.137,0.0 | ||
1776,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.142,0.0 | ||
1777,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.148,0.0 | ||
1778,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.153,0.0 | ||
1779,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.159,0.0 | ||
1780,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.164,0.0 | ||
1781,3.18e-05,0.0,1.3e-05,0.17,0.0005719999999999999 | ||
1782,6.35e-05,0.0,2.61e-05,0.175,0.00114 | ||
1783,9.510000000000001e-05,0.0,3.91e-05,0.181,0.00172 | ||
1784,0.000127,0.0,5.21e-05,0.186,0.00229 | ||
1785,0.000158,0.0,6.52e-05,0.192,0.0028599999999999997 | ||
1786,0.00019,0.0,7.82e-05,0.197,0.0034300000000000003 | ||
1787,0.000221,0.0,9.120000000000001e-05,0.203,0.004 | ||
1788,0.000252,0.0,0.000104,0.208,0.00458 | ||
1789,0.00028399999999999996,0.0,0.00011700000000000001,0.213,0.00515 | ||
1790,0.000315,0.0,0.00013000000000000002,0.219,0.005719999999999999 | ||
1791,0.00038700000000000003,0.0,0.00016,0.224,0.00704 | ||
1792,0.00045900000000000004,0.0,0.00019,0.23,0.00836 | ||
1793,0.000531,0.0,0.00022,0.235,0.00967 | ||
1794,0.000602,0.0,0.00025,0.241,0.011 | ||
1795,0.000674,0.0,0.00028000000000000003,0.246,0.0123 | ||
1796,0.000745,0.0,0.00031,0.252,0.0136 | ||
1797,0.000816,0.0,0.00034,0.257,0.0149 | ||
1798,0.000887,0.0,0.00037,0.263,0.016300000000000002 | ||
1799,0.000958,0.0,0.0004,0.268,0.0176 | ||
1800,0.00103,0.0,0.00043,0.274,0.0189 | ||
1801,0.00127,0.0,0.00053,0.279,0.0233 | ||
1802,0.0015,0.0,0.00063,0.285,0.0277 | ||
1803,0.00174,0.0,0.00073,0.29,0.032100000000000004 | ||
1804,0.00197,0.0,0.00083,0.296,0.0364 | ||
1805,0.00221,0.0,0.00093,0.301,0.040799999999999996 | ||
1806,0.00244,0.0,0.00103,0.307,0.045200000000000004 | ||
1807,0.00267,0.0,0.00113,0.312,0.0496 | ||
1808,0.0029100000000000003,0.0,0.00123,0.317,0.054 | ||
1809,0.00314,0.0,0.00133,0.323,0.0584 | ||
1810,0.00337,0.0,0.0014299999999999998,0.328,0.0628 | ||
1811,0.004200000000000001,0.0,0.0017800000000000001,0.334,0.0782 | ||
1812,0.005019999999999999,0.0,0.00214,0.339,0.0937 | ||
1813,0.00584,0.0,0.00249,0.345,0.109 | ||
1814,0.00666,0.0,0.0028399999999999996,0.35,0.125 | ||
1815,0.00747,0.0,0.00319,0.356,0.14 | ||
1816,0.008289999999999999,0.0,0.0035499999999999998,0.361,0.156 | ||
1817,0.0091,0.0,0.0039,0.367,0.171 | ||
1818,0.00991,0.0,0.00425,0.372,0.187 | ||
1819,0.0107,0.0,0.00461,0.378,0.202 | ||
1820,0.0115,0.0,0.00496,0.383,0.218 | ||
1821,0.0141,0.0,0.0060999999999999995,0.389,0.268 | ||
1822,0.016800000000000002,0.0,0.00724,0.394,0.318 | ||
1823,0.019399999999999997,0.0,0.00839,0.4,0.368 | ||
1824,0.022,0.0,0.009529999999999999,0.405,0.418 | ||
1825,0.0245,0.0,0.0107,0.411,0.468 | ||
1826,0.027100000000000003,0.0,0.011800000000000001,0.416,0.519 | ||
1827,0.0297,0.0,0.013,0.422,0.569 | ||
1828,0.0322,0.0,0.0141,0.427,0.619 | ||
1829,0.0348,0.0,0.0152,0.432,0.669 | ||
1830,0.0373,0.0,0.016399999999999998,0.438,0.719 | ||
1831,0.0427,0.0,0.0188,0.443,0.825 | ||
1832,0.048100000000000004,0.0,0.0212,0.449,0.931 | ||
1833,0.0535,0.0,0.023600000000000003,0.454,1.04 | ||
1834,0.0588,0.0,0.026,0.46,1.14 | ||
1835,0.06409999999999999,0.0,0.0285,0.465,1.25 | ||
1836,0.0694,0.0,0.030899999999999997,0.471,1.36 | ||
1837,0.0747,0.0,0.033299999999999996,0.476,1.46 | ||
1838,0.0799,0.0,0.0357,0.482,1.57 | ||
1839,0.0852,0.0,0.0381,0.487,1.67 | ||
1840,0.09040000000000001,0.0,0.0405,0.493,1.78 | ||
1841,0.107,0.0,0.048,0.498,2.11 | ||
1842,0.123,0.0,0.0555,0.504,2.44 | ||
1843,0.139,0.0,0.063,0.509,2.76 | ||
1844,0.155,0.0,0.0704,0.515,3.09 | ||
1845,0.171,0.0,0.07790000000000001,0.52,3.42 | ||
1846,0.187,0.0,0.0854,0.526,3.75 | ||
1847,0.203,0.0,0.09290000000000001,0.531,4.08 | ||
1848,0.219,0.0,0.1,0.536,4.4 | ||
1849,0.235,0.0,0.108,0.542,4.73 | ||
1850,0.312,0.0013700000000000001,0.112,0.547,4.77 | ||
1851,0.35,0.00531,0.126,0.553,5.21 | ||
1852,0.388,0.00924,0.14,0.558,5.65 | ||
1853,0.426,0.0132,0.153,0.564,6.08 | ||
1854,0.464,0.0171,0.167,0.569,6.52 | ||
1855,0.501,0.021,0.181,0.575,6.95 | ||
1856,0.539,0.025,0.194,0.58,7.38 | ||
1857,0.577,0.0289,0.208,0.586,7.8 | ||
1858,0.614,0.032799999999999996,0.221,0.591,8.22 | ||
1859,0.65,0.0368,0.235,0.597,8.64 | ||
1860,0.942,0.0407,0.248,0.602,9.04 | ||
1861,1.24,0.0733,0.26,0.608,9.42 | ||
1862,1.07,0.0516,0.273,0.613,9.79 | ||
1863,1.15,0.0578,0.285,0.619,10.2 | ||
1864,1.01,0.0391,0.297,0.624,10.5 | ||
1865,1.23,0.060899999999999996,0.31,0.63,10.9 | ||
1866,1.59,0.0997,0.322,0.635,11.3 | ||
1867,1.84,0.128,0.334,0.64,11.6 | ||
1868,1.65,0.105,0.347,0.646,12.0 | ||
1869,1.58,0.09190000000000001,0.359,0.651,12.4 | ||
1870,1.55,0.0862,0.371,0.657,12.8 | ||
1871,1.67,0.0992,0.383,0.662,13.1 | ||
1872,1.71,0.101,0.395,0.668,13.6 | ||
1873,1.93,0.124,0.407,0.673,14.0 | ||
1874,1.99,0.127,0.42,0.679,14.5 | ||
1875,1.94,0.118,0.433,0.684,15.1 | ||
1876,2.09,0.133,0.447,0.69,15.6 | ||
1877,2.28,0.152,0.46,0.695,16.1 | ||
1878,2.19,0.138,0.472,0.701,16.6 | ||
1879,2.81,0.207,0.485,0.706,17.1 | ||
1880,3.76,0.313,0.497,0.712,17.5 | ||
1881,3.25,0.251,0.516,0.717,18.1 | ||
1882,3.58,0.285,0.535,0.723,18.7 | ||
1883,4.12,0.344,0.553,0.728,19.3 | ||
1884,4.34,0.365,0.572,0.734,19.9 | ||
1885,4.78,0.412,0.591,0.739,20.4 | ||
1886,4.79,0.409,0.61,0.744,21.0 | ||
1887,5.0,0.43,0.629,0.75,21.6 | ||
1888,5.64,0.5,0.647,0.755,22.2 | ||
1889,5.55,0.485,0.666,0.761,22.8 | ||
1890,5.74,0.502,0.685,0.766,23.8 | ||
1891,6.34,0.568,0.699,0.772,24.0 | ||
1892,6.54,0.588,0.712,0.777,24.2 | ||
1893,6.33,0.563,0.726,0.783,24.4 | ||
1894,6.83,0.62,0.739,0.788,24.7 | ||
1895,7.13,0.654,0.753,0.794,25.0 | ||
1896,7.05,0.643,0.766,0.799,25.3 | ||
1897,7.66,0.711,0.78,0.805,25.7 | ||
1898,8.46,0.803,0.794,0.81,26.0 | ||
1899,8.66,0.813,0.807,0.816,26.4 | ||
1900,14.0,1.43,0.821,0.821,26.8 | ||
1901,15.6,1.6,0.835,0.827,27.2 | ||
1902,15.6,1.61,0.85,0.832,27.7 | ||
1903,15.4,1.58,0.865,0.838,28.3 | ||
1904,15.8,1.62,0.88,0.843,28.9 | ||
1905,16.4,1.69,0.895,0.848,29.4 | ||
1906,19.3,2.02,0.91,0.854,30.1 | ||
1907,20.7,2.18,0.924,0.859,30.7 | ||
1908,22.2,2.36,0.939,0.865,31.2 | ||
1909,19.6,2.05,0.954,0.87,31.8 | ||
1910,23.2,2.48,0.969,0.876,32.3 | ||
1911,25.4,2.74,0.99,0.881,32.9 | ||
1912,27.4,2.96,1.01,0.887,33.6 | ||
1913,29.4,3.18,1.03,0.892,34.2 | ||
1914,31.9,3.48,1.05,0.898,34.9 | ||
1915,28.7,3.1,1.07,0.903,35.5 | ||
1916,25.6,2.75,1.09,0.909,36.1 | ||
1917,27.5,2.96,1.11,0.914,36.7 | ||
1918,30.2,3.27,1.13,0.92,37.4 | ||
1919,28.7,3.1,1.15,0.925,38.0 | ||
1920,33.6,3.67,1.18,0.931,38.6 | ||
1921,30.5,3.31,1.2,0.936,39.3 | ||
1922,32.0,3.51,1.22,0.942,40.0 | ||
1923,32.6,3.62,1.24,0.947,40.7 | ||
1924,35.3,3.99,1.26,0.952,41.4 | ||
1925,36.8,4.21,1.28,0.958,42.1 | ||
1926,36.3,4.21,1.3,0.963,42.8 | ||
1927,37.6,4.41,1.33,0.969,43.5 | ||
1928,34.0,4.64,1.35,0.974,44.2 | ||
1929,30.9,4.28,1.37,0.98,44.9 | ||
1930,28.9,4.06,1.39,0.985,45.5 | ||
1931,26.1,3.51,1.41,0.991,46.0 | ||
1932,27.2,3.54,1.42,0.996,46.4 | ||
1933,28.7,3.78,1.44,1.0,46.9 | ||
1934,30.0,4.02,1.46,1.01,47.4 | ||
1935,33.0,4.49,1.47,1.01,47.8 | ||
1936,35.2,4.84,1.49,1.02,48.2 | ||
1937,37.4,5.17,1.51,1.02,48.6 | ||
1938,36.7,4.81,1.52,1.03,49.0 | ||
1939,41.5,5.65,1.54,1.03,49.4 | ||
1940,37.7,5.26,1.56,1.04,49.8 | ||
1941,44.5,6.06,1.76,1.05,50.6 | ||
1942,47.0,6.29,1.96,1.05,51.4 | ||
1943,45.3,6.0,2.17,1.06,52.4 | ||
1944,44.4,5.97,2.39,1.06,53.5 | ||
1945,42.4,5.97,2.65,1.07,54.6 | ||
1946,45.7,6.4,2.92,1.07,55.8 | ||
1947,48.8,6.91,3.2,1.08,56.9 | ||
1948,49.3,7.09,3.49,1.08,58.0 | ||
1949,48.4,7.04,3.78,1.09,58.9 | ||
1950,67.1,8.29,4.09,1.09,59.8 | ||
1951,72.0,8.58,4.48,1.1,61.4 | ||
1952,73.3,8.83,4.87,1.11,62.8 | ||
1953,72.7,9.18,5.27,1.11,64.1 | ||
1954,81.7,9.91,5.68,1.12,65.5 | ||
1955,84.6,10.0,6.12,1.12,66.8 | ||
1956,87.0,10.2,6.58,1.13,68.3 | ||
1957,88.5,10.5,7.07,1.13,69.7 | ||
1958,91.9,10.8,7.59,1.14,71.3 | ||
1959,98.8,11.5,8.12,1.14,72.8 | ||
1960,104.0,12.0,8.67,1.15,74.2 | ||
1961,106.0,12.3,9.24,1.16,76.4 | ||
1962,111.0,12.7,9.83,1.16,79.0 | ||
1963,118.0,13.3,10.4,1.17,80.1 | ||
1964,126.0,14.4,11.1,1.17,82.2 | ||
1965,139.0,15.3,11.8,1.18,83.1 | ||
1966,138.0,15.4,12.6,1.18,78.6 | ||
1967,148.0,16.2,13.4,1.19,80.7 | ||
1968,154.0,16.7,14.3,1.19,83.1 | ||
1969,162.0,17.3,15.2,1.2,87.2 | ||
1970,168.0,17.3,15.0,1.4,90.3 | ||
1971,172.0,17.9,15.2,1.42,92.0 | ||
1972,181.0,16.9,15.5,1.43,97.7 | ||
1973,195.0,17.7,15.7,1.52,91.5 | ||
1974,194.0,17.8,15.9,1.59,96.1 | ||
1975,194.0,17.6,16.1,1.61,102.0 | ||
1976,192.0,17.3,16.4,1.63,106.0 | ||
1977,207.0,17.0,16.6,1.74,99.3 | ||
1978,221.0,17.5,16.8,1.75,90.9 | ||
1979,225.0,18.1,17.0,1.78,91.5 | ||
1980,239.0,17.6,17.2,1.85,91.7 | ||
1981,251.0,18.7,17.4,1.86,83.4 | ||
1982,255.0,17.0,17.6,1.89,87.4 | ||
1983,254.0,15.3,17.9,1.83,79.7 | ||
1984,265.0,18.2,18.1,1.87,80.7 | ||
1985,267.0,20.7,18.4,1.92,89.3 | ||
1986,268.0,20.6,18.7,1.91,86.4 | ||
1987,285.0,21.1,19.1,1.95,81.5 | ||
1988,287.0,22.8,19.4,2.0,82.3 | ||
1989,307.0,24.8,19.7,2.07,85.9 | ||
1990,293.0,26.0,20.0,2.11,84.9 | ||
1991,295.0,25.2,20.0,2.07,84.1 | ||
1992,301.0,25.8,19.8,2.11,81.3 | ||
1993,304.0,25.5,19.6,2.17,79.3 | ||
1994,305.0,25.5,18.9,2.21,79.4 | ||
1995,317.0,25.2,18.9,2.24,75.9 | ||
1996,324.0,24.8,17.2,2.26,78.0 | ||
1997,335.0,25.0,17.0,2.16,79.3 | ||
1998,348.0,26.2,16.1,2.14,79.1 | ||
1999,354.0,26.8,16.2,2.1,79.1 | ||
2000,363.0,26.6,15.7,2.03,82.3 | ||
2001,371.0,27.8,15.9,2.05,81.2 | ||
2002,374.0,28.4,16.0,2.05,81.1 | ||
2003,379.0,31.1,14.9,1.95,75.6 | ||
2004,392.0,32.5,14.5,1.99,79.1 | ||
2005,398.0,31.9,14.4,1.98,79.8 | ||
2006,404.0,31.7,14.2,1.98,78.2 | ||
2007,412.0,33.8,14.5,2.01,74.3 | ||
2008,417.0,33.3,15.0,2.05,71.8 | ||
2009,422.0,31.4,14.9,2.06,72.2 | ||
2010,417.0,33.7,15.2,2.07,69.8 | ||
2011,414.0,34.4,14.6,2.07,74.3 | ||
2012,420.0,31.2,13.1,2.08,75.8 | ||
2013,413.0,29.2,12.5,2.09,76.0 | ||
2014,407.0,29.1,12.6,2.05,76.4 | ||
2015,417.0,30.5,12.1,2.11,73.6 | ||
2016,427.0,30.3,12.6,2.12,72.6 | ||
2017,429.0,30.8,12.7,2.1,76.6 | ||
2018,431.0,31.6,12.6,2.09,75.2 | ||
2019,430.0,32.7,12.4,2.13,69.8 |
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model,scenario,region,variable,unit,1990,1995,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013,2014,2015,2020,2021,2022,2023,2024,2025,2030,2035,2040,2045,2050,2055,2060,2065,2070,2075,2080,2085,2090,2095,2100 | ||
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0,LowEnergyDemand_1.3_IPCC,R5OECD90+EU,Final Energy,EJ/yr,,,,,,,,,,,,,135.2090624,,,,,132.1924301,137.5839813,,,,,,97.71056686,,73.48720681,,62.98421977,,62.20051665,,61.41653002,,61.38789021,,61.12185207,,59.82901563 | ||
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0,LowEnergyDemand_1.3_IPCC,R5OECD90+EU,Final Energy|Industry,EJ/yr,,,,,,,,,,,,,41.64929566,,,,,39.62885347,41.16484446,,,,,,31.58274339,,23.19377337,,19.57683882,,19.85087881,,19.44054257,,19.41369517,,19.39607652,,19.2948213 | ||
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0,LowEnergyDemand_1.3_IPCC,R5OECD90+EU,Final Energy|Residential and Commercial,EJ/yr,,,,,,,,,,,,,49.02588389,,,,,46.42201097,48.85710883,,,,,,33.64097361,,25.32143379,,21.19831595,,20.9900427,,21.00517551,,21.52041239,,21.82065141,,21.19652901 | ||
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0,LowEnergyDemand_1.3_IPCC,R5OECD90+EU,Final Energy|Transportation,EJ/yr,,,,,,,,,,,,,44.53388284,,,,,46.14156567,47.56202799,,,,,,32.48684986,,24.97199964,,22.20906501,,21.35959513,,20.97081194,,20.45378265,,19.90512413,,19.33766531 | ||
MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM 1.0,LowEnergyDemand_1.3_IPCC,R5OECD90+EU,Population,million,,,,,,,,,,,,,987.3899994,,,,,1015.595,1043.8,,,,,,1092.34,,1131.8,,1162.68,,1186.87,,1201.94,,1206.81,,1200.48,,1183 |
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